文档介绍:该【英格兰央行2013年国内外经济分析报告 】是由【相惜】上传分享,文档一共【106】页,该文档可以免费在线阅读,需要了解更多关于【英格兰央行2013年国内外经济分析报告 】的内容,可以使用淘豆网的站内搜索功能,选择自己适合的文档,以下文字是截取该文章内的部分文字,如需要获得完整电子版,请下载此文档到您的设备,方便您编辑和打印。££,thedistributionreflectsthelikelihoodofrevisionstothedataoverthepast;totheright,’asions,theMPC’,,..Chart2Cumulativeprobabilityofunemploymenthavingreachedthe7%;%,butitshouldnotbeinterpretedasaconfidenceinterval..Chart3CPIinflationprojectionbasedonmarketinterestrateexpectationsand££’asions,theMPC’,,–49oftheMay2002InflationReportforafullerdescriptionofthefanchartandwhatitrepresents..Chart4ProbabilitythatCPIinflationwillbeatorabovethe%%,consistentwiththe18to24-monthperiodintheMPC’spricestabilityknockout..(a)Sources:BankofEnglandandBloomberg.(a) TheMay2021,August2021andNovember2021curvesareestimatedusingovernightindexswap(OIS)ratesinthefifteenworkingdaysto8May2021,31July2021and6November2021respectively..:Bloomberg,ReutersandBankcalculations.(a) Reuterspollshowsthemedianeconomists’’responsestothequestion:‘WhendoyouexpecttheBankofEnglandtochangeratesnext?’.(b) Seriesiscalculatedasthefirstdateatwhichone-%..-yearOISratestwoyearsforwardforselectedcountriesSources:BloombergandBankcalculations.(a) August2021InflationReportpublished.(b) August2021MPCminutespublished.(c) SecondestimateofUKGDPin2021Q2published.(d) September2021FOMCmeetingandSeptember2021MPCminutespublished.(e) UKunemploymentrateinthethreemonthstoAugust2021published.(f) USSeptembernon-farmpayrollsdatapublished.(g) UKOctoberservicesPMIpublished..-yeargovernmentbondyields(a)Source:Bloomberg.(a) Yieldstomaturityonten-yearbenchmarkgovernmentbonds..