文档介绍：成本转嫁、人力资本积累与贸易的动态效应

韩忠亮

北京大学经济学院工作论文

编号:C-2011-013

2011 年 10 月 31 日

版权归作者所有

成本转嫁、人力资本积累与贸易的动态效应
Cost Shifting, Human Capital Accumulation and the Dynamic Effects of
Trade

韩忠亮*
北京大学经济学院
Zhongliang HAN
School of Economics, Peking University

* 通讯作者:韩忠亮,北京市海淀区昆明湖南路 62 号世纪城远大园 4 区 11 号楼 207,邮编 100097。Tel.:
**********; E-mail address: ******@pku., ******@.
1

成本转嫁、人力资本积累与贸易的动态效应†
Cost Shifting, Human Capital Accumulation and the Dynamic Effects of
Trade

摘要:本文将成本转嫁模型(韩忠亮,2011a)与贸易和内生增长理论相结合,基于贸易及成本
转嫁对人力资本积累的影响,构建了一个动态贸易效应的分析框架,考察发展中国家和发达国
家贸易效应的动态演变及二者的差异。本文指出,发展中国家的成本转嫁,改变了人力资本积
累及其外部性的影响路径,当成本转嫁带来人力资本的“消蚀效应”足够大时会使发展中国家
的动态福利恶化,演化为种种悲剧性的结果,甚至导致“国际贸易悲剧”现象的发生;要素禀
赋越低的国家越有可能出现成本转嫁及其悲剧化的后果。本文的分析与结论为研究贸易福利效
应、要素禀赋升级和针对一国为克服成本转嫁而制定的贸易政策提供了一个有效工具,助于解
决发展中国家实现发展模式转型的问题。

关键词:成本转嫁人力资本积累消蚀效应贸易的动态效应
JEL 分类码:F11, F18, O15, O31

Abstract: In this paper bine the cost-shifting model from Han, 2011a and the theory of trade
and endogenous growth to construct a new analytical framework towards the dynamic effects of trade,
which is used prehensively investigate the evolution of the dynamic effects of trade in both
developing and developed countries and analyze the corresponding difference between them from the
perspective of the influence of trade and cost shifting on human capital accumulation. It is pointed out
that cost shifting produced by developing countries in their participation of international trade
significantly changes the impact path of human capital accumulation and its externalities. As the
“erosion effect” of cost shifting on human capital accumulation es large enough, it might lead to
the deterioration of the loss of dynamic welfare for developing countries and even the occurrence of the
“tragedy of international trade”. Furthermore, the lower the level of factor endowments of a count