文档介绍：( 二零 届)
毕业论文(设计)
嘉兴市居民消费与经济增长关系的统计研究
I
摘要:消费是社会再生产的重要环节,在市场经济条件下消费作为最终需求
的重要组成部分之一,对生产的正常发展和国民经济的增长具有重要的拉动作用。在总消费中,居民消费又占据绝大部分,成为经济发展的重要拉动力量。因此, 研究居民消费与经济增长具有重要的理论价值和现实意义。
本研究依据嘉兴市历年有关居民消费和经济增长的统计资料,以现代经济理论、现代统计理论和方法为指导,汲取国内外有关居民消费与经济增长研究的前沿成果,采用规范分析与实证分析相结合的研究方法,注重研究嘉兴市居民消费与经济增长的内在联系,系统地分析了嘉兴市居民消费的状况、特点和影响因素, 通过对嘉兴市居民消费与经济增长的模型构建与分析,探讨了提高嘉兴市居民消费水平,实现嘉兴市居民消费与经济增长协调发展的对策体系。
关键词:居民消费;经济增长;误差修正模型;实证分析
II
Abstract
Statistica l Sur vey of CPI and Economic Growth in J ia xing City
Abstr act: Consumption, an important link in social reproduction in a market economy, is one of ponent parts of ultimate demand, and it has a great effect on production and economic growth of the country .ounting for most of the national consumption, individual consumption has e a crucial market force and study
of it will be of great importance both in theory and practice.
Based on past years’statistics of individual consumption and economic growth in Jiaxing City,guided by modem economic theories as well as modem statistical theories and methods,taking in the latest achievements home and abroad in this field, and adopting the methods of normative analysis and positive analysis, this research tries to seek out the internal relationship between individual consumption and economic growth in Jiaxing City, analyzes the conditions and the characteristics of individual consumption and the factors which influence the consumption,constructs models of individual consumption and economic growth, and establishes a system of countermeasures to promote individual consumption and maintain coordinated development between individual consumption and economic growth in Jiaxing City.
Key wor ds: individual consumption; economic growth; error correction model; empirical analysis
III
目录
摘要 II
A bstract III
目录 1
0 前言 1
1 居民消费的背景及内涵 2
1 .1 居民消费的背景 2
1 .2 居民消费水平的内涵 3
2 影响居民消费水平的因素分析 5
3 嘉兴市居民消费现状分析 7
3 .1 嘉兴市居民消费状况 7
3 .2 嘉兴市居民消费特点 7
4 嘉兴市变量水平值的实证研究 10
4 .1 数据处理 10
4 .2 平稳性检验 11
4 .3 协整检验