文档介绍：Abstract
Oil is very important strategic material which safeguards one country’s security of
economy and politics. As fast development of our country’s economy,the shortage of oil
increases year by year. The Customs Head Office announced on January 11th, 2008 that
China has imported 1968 million tons of oil in the whole year of 2007, our country’s degree
of dependence upon foreign trade had been up to 49%. And as estimated, it will soar to be
60% in year 2020. As a result,all that will lead to a large amount of hidden trouble,such as
we have to depend on foreign oil more and more, the foreign trade style and import resource
are still keeping single oil trade influenced by international oil price in a high degree,and
also it may be lead to oil crisis,etc.
This paper introduces the present conditions of our country’s oil trade,mends our
country’s oil strategy. Then it analyses the key factors that influence China’s oil trade,from
two points of view of supply and demand. Meanwhile, it also introduces other factors, for
instance, the speculation in capital market, foreign exchange rate,psychology, etc. This
paper aiming at the problems of our country’s oil trade,especially oil import,presents some
solutions, it has great importance to China’s oil trade and our national economic and
political safety.
The sources of China petroleum import overly concentrate, passage single, petroleum
strategy store not yet perfect, and the growth of petroleum futures market is not
consummate. In addition to the impact to international petroleum market, of China
petroleum import, the threaten theory of China petroleum be widely round in overseas.
Therefore, how to right evaluating the risk of China petroleum import, to evade risks, and to
insure our country petroleum import trade safety, is that we must face important theories
and pay attention to the problem of practice.
Key Words: oil import,analysis of supply and demand,oil safety,risk evaluation,avoiding
measur