文档介绍:petitive Advantage from Global works – Think Beyond Scale Effects by Rolf Breidenbach, Peter Schmidt, Markus Vlasits http://autoassembly./ 0 DO GROWTH AND GLOBALIZATION BOOST PROFITS BY GENERATING SCALE EFFECTS IN A GLOBAL WORK? Thousand product units/year Market development and sales prognosis NAFTA Europe 80 Dreaming of 60 high scale effects 40 40 50 in a future global Reality of 20 production capturing network savings 2002 07 2012 2002 07 2012 Asia South America 40 20 0 40 20 10 2002 07 2012 2002 07 2012 Source: McKinsey 1 COMPLEXITY OF DESIGNING THE GLOBAL WORK TURNS THE DREAM INTO A NIGHTMARE Multiple influence factors How to capture scale effects? n-dimensional solution space for How to prioritize? possible value streams Scale effects through growth and globalization • Lack of vision and courage • Incremental improvements only Source: McKinsey 2 A LONG-TERM PERSPECTIVE WORK STRATEGY MUST BE DEVELOPED ALONG THREE HORIZONS Strategy horizon Rationale • Benchmark cost 3 Investigate local make or buy position and asset light strategies • Define best owner • Minimize entire system 2 Define optimal production program cost (OEM and suppliers) per location 2002 - 12 based on – Running cost installed capacities – One-time expenses • Define portfolio of core 1 Define future petencies technologies/core for an XY-manufacturer in a widely businesses oligopolistic supply market situation • Prioritize investments Time Source: McKinsey 3 ONLY A STRUCTURED AND HYPOTHESIS-DRIVEN APPROACH LEADS TO THE FUTURE WORK Define design Perform key work Preselect Assess final Roll back the criteria upfront analyses hypotheses options option future 2012 Sce- • nario 1 • • Sce- • nario 2 • 2002 • Select 3 - 4 key • Collect and • Span up solution • Quick assess- • NPV calculation • Migration path influence analyze data space ment along key • Joint invest