文档介绍：Contents
Introduction ...........................................1
Macroeconomic Activity Module ................................11
International Energy Module ..................................13
Household Expenditures Module ................................19
Residential Demand Module ..................................21
Commercial Demand Module..................................29
Industrial Demand Module ...................................39
Transportation Demand Module ................................53
Electricity Market Module ....................................69
Oil and Gas Supply Module ..................................87
Natural Gas Transmission and Distribution Module ......................99
Petroleum Market Module ...................................105
Coal Market Module ......................................117
Renewable Fuels Module ...................................127
Appendix A: Handling of Federal and Selected State Legislation and Regulation In the Annual
Energy Outlook ........................................143
Energy Information Administration/Assumptions to the Annual Energy Outlook 2003 i
Introduction
his report presents the major assumptions of the National Energy Modeling System (NEMS) used to
generate the projections in the Annual Energy Outlook 20041 (AEO2004), including general features of
Tthe model structure, assumptions concerning energy markets, and the key input data and parameters
that are most significant in formulating the model results. Detailed documentation of the modeling system is
available in a series of documentation A synopsis of NEMS, the ponents, and the
interrelationships of the modules is presented in The National Energy Modeling System: An Overview3,
which is updated once every two years.
The National Energy Modeling System
The projections in the AEO2004 were produced with the National Energy Modeling System. NEMS is
developed and maintained by the Office of Integrated