河南省对外贸易与区域经济增长相关关系研究.doc

文档介绍：河南省对外贸易与区域经济增长相关关系研究
摘要
对外贸易作为拉动经济增长的三驾“马车”之一,在促进经济增长的过程中发挥了非常重要的作用。在建设中原经济区大背景下,河南省对外贸易在促进经济增长中将起到关键作用。本文从河南省整体对外贸易与经济增长关系研究出发,深入探讨河南省对外贸易与区域经济增长相关关系。
本文第一部分分析河南省经济与对外贸易现状。第二部分利用1999-2009年河南省GDP、进出口总额、出口总额、进口总额的统计数据,分别对河南省GDP与对外贸易总额进行相关性分析,与对外贸易总额、出口总额、进口总额之间分别做最小二乘法线性估计,得出结论,河南省对外贸易与经济增长有较强的正相关关系。第三部分利用1999-2009年河南省、各省辖市GDP、进出口总额的统计数据以及2005-2009年河南省四大经济区GDP、进出口总额的统计数据,对河南省、四大经济区、省辖市GDP与对外贸易总额进行相关性分析,并比较相关系数值的大小。得出结论,总体上河南省对外贸易与区域经济增长之间存在着较强的正相关关系。第四部分指出河南省对外贸易在促进区域经济增长过程中存在于产业布局、结构中的问题,提出相关政策建议。
关键词:河南省,对外贸易,区域经济增长,相关关系
THE RELATIONSHIP RESEARCH ON THE FOREIGN TRADE OF HENAN PROVINCE AND REGIONAL ECONOMIC GROWTH
ABSTRACT
The foreign trade, as one sector of the tri-chariot which serves to stimulate the economic growth, play a very important role in promoting the economic growth. Under the background of constructing central china economic region, the foreign trade of Henan province play a critical role in promoting its economic growth. Based on the study about the relation of foreign trade and economic growth all over the Henan province, the present paper deeply analyses the correlativity between foreign trade and regional economic growth in Henan province.
The first part of this thesis analyses the current situation of economics and foreign trade in Henan province. The second part utilize the statistics of GDP, foreign trade volume, export volume, import volume in Henan province during 1999 to 2009 to analyze the correlativity between GDP and foreign trade volume, respectively make analysis on correlativity with foreign trade volume, export volume, import volume based on OLS model, then we could get the conclusion: there is a significant positive correlation between foreign trade and economic growth in Henan the statistics of the GDP of municipalities, foreign trade volume in Henan province during 1999 to 2009;and the statistics of the GDP of municipalities, foreign trade volume in four main economics regions,Henan province during 2005 to