文档介绍：本科毕业论文(设计)
题目: 基于乘数理论的武汉市旅游业经济贡献
及就业拉动效应分析
姓名: 学号:
院(系):经济管理学院专业: 统计学
指导教师: 职称: 讲师
评阅人: 职称: 教授
2011 年 06月
本科生毕业论文(设计)原创性声明
本人以信誉声明:所呈交的毕业论文(设计)是在导师指导下进行的研究工作及取得的研究成果,论文中引用他人的文献、数据、图件、资料均已明确标注出,论文中的结论和结果为本人独立完成,不包含他人成果及为获得中国地质大学或其他教育机构的学位或证书而使用过的材料。与我一同工作的同志对本研究所做的任何贡献均已在论文中作了明确的说明并表示了谢意。
毕业论文作者(签字):
签字日期: 年月日
摘要
随着我的提高,旅游消费需求的日益增加,旅游业的发展迎来了良好的成长环境。学术界关于旅游业的研究成果也越来越多,其中,旅游业的国民经济贡献及其产业地位的研究一直以来都是旅游业经济研究的热点和难点问题。
本课题基于乘数理论,选取2000年至2010年武汉市旅游业的统计数据,建立武汉市生产总值关于旅游业总收入的生产函数,来研究武汉市旅游业对国民经济增长的贡献;通过建立武汉市三大产业的就业人数关于入境旅游者人数及外汇收入的生产函数,来研究武汉市旅游业的就业拉动效应。研究结果充分说明武汉市旅游业在国民经济各部门中的重要地位,对经济增长的巨大贡献,以及为社会就业起到了很好的拉动效应。最后,就“十二五”规划的要求,分析了武汉市旅游业的现状,并提出了旅游业未来发展的建议。
关键词:武汉市旅游业;乘数理论;经济贡献;就业拉动效应;
Abstract
The tourism industry is developing in a good environment, with the high-speed development of the economy of our country and the increase of people's living standards and the consumption demand. At present there are more and more research about the tourism industry occurring, and the most attracted and difficult problem is the study of the contribution and location of tourism industry.
Based on the multiplier theory, according to the tourism statistics from 2000 to 2010, this paper builds production function between Wuhan’s gross domestic product and the tourism total e, to explore the tourism services for the economic growth of the city .It also establishes the production function between employment of three major industries and the number of foreign tourists and exchange earnings, to explore how the tourism help to solve Wuhan’s employment problem. As the result shows, the tourism makes great contribution to the economic growth of the city, and rapidly development of tourism provides more employment opportunities to the society. At last, based on the consent of the “12th five-year-plan scheme”, the paper analyses the sustainable development of tourism in Wuhan, and give some suggestions about the development of tourism industry in the future.
Keywords: th