文档介绍：Research on the Sustainability of Cropland
to Forest Land Program
——From farmers’ behavior angle
A Thesis Submitted to Chongqing University
in Partial Fulfillment of the Requirement for the
Master‘s Degree of Administration
By
Dong Yao
Supervised by Vice Professor Liu Yan
Specialty:Population, Resources and
Environment Economics
School of Public Affairs of
Chongqing University, Chongqing, China
March, 2014
重庆大学硕士学位论文中文摘要
摘要
从 1999 年至今,退耕还林工程取得了斐然的成果。随着工程的推进,退耕还
林可持续性问题日益凸显。本文从农户行为角度出发,定义退耕还林可持续性的
内涵,建立农户效用函数和 logistic 回归模型,分别从理论和实证上研究退耕还林
可持续性的影响因素,并提出相关政策建议。结论如下:(1)若退耕补贴取消,
农户的参与意愿则会大幅下降,复耕可能性会增加;(2)大多数农户对工程期满
后复不复耕的问题持观望态度,退耕成果的巩固值得担忧。劳动力机会成本高,
退耕地坡度大、对生活比较满意,退耕过程中被征求过意见的农户,复耕可能性
小;(3)农户对退耕林地的管护仍处于被动状态。是否签订管护合同是影响农户
林地管护行为的最重要因素,而劳动力机会成本对农户个体管护行为有很大影响,
对集体管护的影响却相对不显著;( 4)当前退耕林地收益太少,不能对农户行为
决策形成有效激励。并提出政策建议:(1)要使退耕还林的成果得以保持,第二
轮退耕还林补偿到期后,须继续延长退耕还林补偿期限;(2)建立和完善生态补
偿制度,根据树木成长阶段和其提供的生态效益给予农户相应的补偿金,降低农
户经营林地的风险;(3)落实林权证发放到户,培育林权流转市场,加大对农户
林业经营管理的技术培训和资金支持力度,以增加退耕林地收益;(4)加大退耕
还林过程中的企业参与度和政府领导力,落实林地管护合同的签订。
关键词:退耕还林可持续性,农户行为,参与意愿,林地管护,复耕
I
重庆大学硕士学位论文英文摘要
ABSTRACT
Since 1999, the Conversion of Cropland to Forest Land Program (CCFP) has
made great achievement. However, with the program progressing, the sustainability of
CCFP has e increasingly prominent. In this paper, from farmers behavior angle,
we define the sustainability FP, build up farmer household‘s utility function and
logistic model to study the influential factors of the sustainability FP both
theoretically and empirically, and finally make some policy suggestions. The
conclusions are as follows:(1) If pensation for reforestation is cancelled, farmer
will be much less willing to participate FP and the possibility of re-cultivation will
be high. (2) Most farmers‘ are uncertain about re-cultivating or not. Those with high
labor opportunity cost, steep slope of conversion land, asked their