文档介绍：2015 年第 1 期江西碳排放交易初始配额分配及价格设定的初步研究☉肖文海魏伟董安平[摘要]江西推进碳排放交易需要合理分配配额、科学界定碳交易初始价格。通过设计江西 GDP、单位GDP 能耗、单位能耗碳强度等指标,利用 Matlab 模拟,在低碳控制政策下,江西碳排放峰值预测量为 29111万吨,据此分配江西各地市碳交易配额量,并根据二氧化碳影子价格分析模型,建议江西碳配额初始分配价格为 元/吨。[关键词]江西;碳交易;碳配额;碳价格[中图分类号]F205 [文献标识码]A [文章编号]1674-6848(2015)01-0090-06[作者简介]肖文海(1971—),男,江西吉安人,博士,江西财经大学鄱阳湖生态经济研究院教授,循环经济与生态工业研究所所长,主要从事循环经济研究;魏伟(1991—),男,山东济宁人,江西财经大学经济学院人口资源与环境硕士研究生,主要从事循环经济研究;董安平(1992—),男,江西吉安人,江西财经大学经济学院政治经济学硕士研究生,主要从事循环经济研究。(江西南昌 330013)[基金项目]国家社会科学基金项目“基于气候补偿的能源价格改革研究”(14BJL107)的阶段性成果。Title: A Preliminary Study of Initial Quota Allocation of Jiangxi Carbon Emissions Trading and Price SettingAuthors: Xiao Wenhai,Wei Wei & Dong AnpingAbstract: Promoting carbon emission trading in Jiangxi Province needs to allocate quotas properly and to de-fine the initial price of carbon emissions scientifically. By design Jiangxi GDP,energy consumption per unit GDP,energy consumption per unit of carbon intensity and other indicators,using Matlab simulation,the forecast quan-tity of carbon emissions peak in Jiangxi province is nearly million tons under the low carbon control the carbon trading quota around the cities of Jiangxi province on the basis of million tons,ording to the analysis model of shadow price of carbon dioxide, this paper suggests that the initial allocationprice of carbon quotas in Jiangxi is yuan per word