文档介绍：宿豫区“十一五”经济发展规划研究
ABSTRACT
Planning for regional economy is very important. pilation of the
regional development scheme is an indirect and useful way for the government to
supervise the economic development. The eleventh five-year is crucial for the
construction of Xiaokang Society. Moreover, the eleventh five-year plan is the first
scheme for Suyu borough after its establishment. Under this back ground, we analyze
the economic development of Suyu in recent years, and set up a forecasting model to
describe the future in Suyu.
From the point of the regional economics, we make use of the related economic
theories to analyze the economic conditions of Suyu in the tenth five-year and to find
out the problems in the economic development of Suyu. And then we make an
analysis of international and domestic economic environment of Suyu and make out
its stage of development. Further more, based on the guide thoughts and the strategies
of Suyu economic development, we utilized the GM (1, 1) to forecast the major
economic indices of Suyu in eleventh five-year. And to harmonize the relationship in
the economy and environment, we used the IPAT equation to make out the
environment burden indicator of the economic development period. Finally, we
advance the constructive measures to promote the development in Suyu.
This thesis is an important part of the eleventh five-year development plan in
Suyu. This project has been verified by the local Congress in Jan, 2006 and has
obtained ments. Moreover, it has certain reference meanings to the
similar area’s economy development planning.
Keyword:region economy, planning for economic development, GM (1,1),
scientifically developing view
II
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南京航空航天大学硕士