资本深化, 人力资本积累与中国经济持续增长.doc

文档介绍：(投稿领域:宏观经济学)
资本深化、人力资本积累与中国经济持续增长

汤向俊
(陕西师范大学国际商学院 710062)


[内容提要]:本文针对中国经济转轨过程中近年来呈现资本深化的特征,引入人力资本积累因素进行分析。分析表明:(1)1978-1994年期间,我国的资本-产出比呈现逐年下降的态势,1994年以来资本-产出比呈现上升趋势,但在2000-2002间出现短期下降,2003后又开始上升;(2)1978年以来,我国人力资本存量不断提高,并且由于存在人力资本的外部性,必然导致人均物质资本的上升,但这种人均物质资本和资本-产出比的上升由于人力资本边际报酬递增的作用,将使整个经济具有可持续的增长;(3)物质资本积累是我国过去20多年经济增长的主要贡献因素,但人力资本存量缓慢增长,在近几年有所改善,应该继续保持这种势头,从而保持中国经济持续的增长。
[关键词] 资本-产出人力资本物质资本经济增长
Capital Formation、 Human Capital Accumulation
And Economic Sustainable Growth In China
Xiangjun Tang

[Abstract]:China’s economic growth has been characterized by capital formation in recent years ,we take human capital accumulation into account to analyze. we find that ,(1) During the period of 1978-1994,china’s capital-output ratio maintained a declining pattern , only after has china’s capital-output ratio begun to increase slightly ,but happen to decrease exceptionally of 2000-2002,then begun to rise after 2003; (2) China’s human capital stock has trended upward since 1978, and if we take human capital external effect into account , will increase material capital capita and decrease capital-output ratio, but ,because of the marginal reward increasing effect of human capital ,such capital capita upward will cause to economic sustainable growth. (3) China’s material capital stock has been highly contribute to economic growth and china’s human capital stock has been slightly rising since the reform started in1978, however,china’s human capital stock has been largely increased in recent years ,so, we should keep it and make china’s economic growth sustainable.
[keywords] capital-output ratio, human capital, material capital, economic growth
联系方式:陕西师范大学国际商学院103号信箱 710062 汤向俊
E-mail: tangxje126@ Tel:[phone]
手机:(0)**********


资本深化、人力资本积累与中国经济持续增长

[内容提要]:本文针对中国经济转轨过程中近年来呈现资本深化的特征,引入人力资本积累因素进行分析。分析表明:(1)1978-1994年期间,我国的资本-产出比呈现逐年下降的态势,1994年以来资本-产出比呈现上升趋势,但在2000-2002间出现短期下降,2003后又开始上升;(2)1978年以来,我国人力资本存量不断提高,并且由于存在人力资本的外部性,必然导致人均物