文档介绍：:..TorunasimulationusingCrystalBall®:()intermsoftheinputs(randomornot).Forrandominputs,—,・DefineForecast—.,outputorperformancemeasureDefinewhichcell(s)youareinterestedinforecasting(typicallytheperformancemeasure,.,profit).,choose/zSensitiv让yAnalysis77underOptionsinRunPreferences・-runthesimulation,youshould"reset"thesimulation(clickonthe/zResetSimulation,zbuttononthetoolbarorintheRunmenu)(orduring)(frequencychart,cumulativechart,statistics,percentiles,sensitivityanalysis,andtrendchart).:lA.<0>LiiliuHEl!噩A回《”總血固圉囲团曰Define Define Run Start Reset ForecastTrendChartAssumptions Forecast Preferences Simulation Simulation WindowRecalltheWaltonBookstoreexample:ItisAugust,andtheymustdecidehowmanyofnextyear'$$,allunsoldcalendarsarereturnedtothepublisherforarefundof$(discreteuniform)・Demand =d〜Uniform[100,300]OrderQuantity=Q(decisionvariable)Revenue =$10*Min(Q,d)Cost =$*QRefund =$(Q-Z0)Profit =Revenue一Cost+RefundStep#1(SetupSpreadsheet)ABcDEF1SimulationofWalton'sBookstore23Data4UnitCost=$$$=6UnitRefund=78DemandDistribution(Uniform)9Minimum=10030010Maximum=1112DecisionVariable13OrderQuantity= 2001415Simulation16DemandRevenueCostRefundProfit17200$2,$1,$$