文档介绍：The China Threat to

World Textile and

Apparel Trade

Executive summary 1
Analysis results 3
Chinese price changes 4
Chinese dominance 4
Peril for Mexico, CBI and Africa 6
2005 – How much will China take? 7
Impact on . textile and apparel sector 10
Impact on other countries 11
Why China is so dominant 12
What can be done? 13
Conclusion 15
Appendices 17

The American Textile Manufacturers Institute
1130 Connecticut Ave, NW
Washington DC 20036
202-862-0500 / f: 202-862-0570
Executive Summary

The following report is a 22 page analysis of Chinese import increases and price shifts in 29 quota de-
controlled categories since January 1, 2002. It concludes that if China follows the same pattern in 2005,
when the bulk of its quotas will be removed, then
China’s share of the . textile and apparel market Projected Chinese Control
will rise to over two-thirds of the . market within . textile and apparel import market
24 months.
80% 71%

If this occurs, the result will be the largest wave of job
losses and plant closures in . textile and apparel 44%
history and will likely result in the elimination of
textiles and apparel as a major manufacturing employer
20% 22%
in the United States. Total . textile and apparel 13%
job losses from 2004-6 could reach 630,000, with
over 1,300 textile plants closing in the United States 0%
over a three-year period. 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

Job losses in the United States will be only a fraction of
those that will occur overseas as an estimated $42 billion in export orders from other countries shift to
China. This would probably represent one of the largest short-term transfers of wealth in the history of the
developing world.

A large number of countries, from Mexico to South Africa, Projected Textile and Apparel Export
from Bangladesh to Haiti, from the Philippines to Turk