文档介绍：本科毕业论文
人民币升值对我国进出口影响的实证分析
作者周子剑
层次专科起点本科
专业国际贸易
年级 2007
学号 200727201001
办学形式夜大
办学地点东北财经大学
指导教师
成绩
内容提要
汇率制度对经济或的变动、调整来传导的。当一国经济向
其他国家开放进行贸易,意味着本国价格和外均水
平的变化对贸易条件产生影响,贬值促进出口,升值使出口下降,从而改善国际收支。汇率变
动对进出口贸易收支的调节有一个时滞问题,即汇率变化后的一段时期内,贸易收支并不能立
即发生预期的变化,而是先表现为一个向相反方向变化的过程,然后汇率变化的正向效果才会
逐渐显现出来。近期,人民币对美元汇率突破了“7”区间之后,屡创新高,累计升值幅度超过了19%。汇率因素已经成为今后影响我国外贸发展的一个重要因素。本文通过对汇率变动与进出口增长的关系进行分析,结合汇改以来我国外贸形势,指出当前人民币加快升值对我国进出口的影响。
关键词:人民币汇率升值进出口贸易
Abstract
The influence of exchange rate system on the economy or the international trade is conducted through the exchange rate level change and the adjustment. When a country economy carries on trade with other nations openly, it means that there is some kind of fixed relations between the price of our country and that of foreign countries. The change of exchange rate average level has the influence on the trade condition: the depreciation promotes export, the appreciation causes the export to drop, thus improves the international payment exchange rate change has a time lag question to the import-export trade revenue and expenditure adjustment. That means shortly after the change of exchange rate, the trade revenue and expenditure cannot have the anticipated change immediately. It first change to the reverse direction, then the exchange rate change effect can appear gradually. Recently, After the exchange rate for RMB to Dollar touched “7”, and repeatedly even deeper rate, totally appreciation has exceed 19%. The exchange rate has e one important factor to Chinese international trade. With Chinese international trade situation after exchange rate reform, this paper has illustrated the affections of RMB appreciation to present Chinese import/export by analysis of relationship between exchange rate variation and import/export variation.
Key words: RMB exchange rate appreciation import/export trade
目录
一、 中国的汇率制度改革与进出口贸易的发展 1
(一) 实行固定汇率制度阶段的汇率阶段(1979年︿1993年) 1
(二) 实行以市场供求为基础