美赛论文参考文献参考.doc

文档介绍：RESEARCH
The Wilderness Use Simulation Model Applied to Colorado River Boating in Grand Canyon National Park, USA
研究
荒野使用模拟模型及其应用
科罗拉多河在大峡谷国家划船
美国公园
A. HEATON UNDERHILL
Cooperative National Park Resources Studies Unit 125 Biological Sciences East
University of Arizona
Tucson, Arizona 85721, USA
A. BUSAXABA
Department of Mathematics
University of Swaziland
PC Kwaluseni, Swaziland
RONALD E. BORKAN
School of Renewable Natural Resources
University of Arizona
Tucson, Arizona 85721, USA
答：希顿昂德希尔 合作国家公园资源研究组
125生物科学东 亚利桑那大学
85721 ,美国亚利桑那州图森
A. BUSA XABA
数学系
斯威士兰大学
PC Kwaiuseni ,斯威士兰
罗纳德大肠杆菌BORKAN 可再生自然资源学院 亚利桑那大学
85721 ,美国亚利桑那州图森
ABSTRACT / A modification of the Shechter-Lucas Wilderness Use Simulation Model (WUSM) for peak season boating on the Colorado River through Grand Canyon National Park, USA, is evaluated as a tool for making management decisions. A new microcomputer program to select trip itineraries for inclusion in the WUSM that was developed as part of this study is presented. This program simplifies user input and expands the WUSM's usefulness as a tool for management decisions by randomizing itinerary schedules based on probabilities developed from actual use of sites by canyon visitors. Model usefulness is demonstrated by simulating various management changes and comparing use levels of attraction sites and campgrounds as well as numbers of encounters between parties. The WUSM is being used as part of an ongoing study, to reflect the impact of fluctuating flow regimes on river trips.
through the turbines at Glen Canyon Dam 抽象/—个修改的 Shechter 卢卡斯■怀尔德 内斯使用模拟模型（WUSM ）为旺季划船
通过科罗拉多河大峡谷国家公园， 美国，被评为决策管理决策的工具 sions。一种新的微机程序选择旅行路线 列入开发这部分WUSM
研究提出。该方案简化了用户的输入和 作为一个管理工具，扩大WUSM的实用性 基于概率，随机行程时间表的决定 从实际使用网站开发能力峡谷Visitors
。通过模拟各种模型的有效性证明 管理变革和吸引力比较使用量 地点和营地以及遭遇数字
各方之间。在WUSM正在使用的一个组成部分 正在进行的研究，以反映脉动流制度的影响 通过涡轮机在格伦峡谷大坝对河流人次。
Following the closure of Glen Canyon Dam in 1964, the volume of boating and rafting on the Colorado River thro