文档介绍：摘 要
随着国民经济的发展和电力体制改革的深入，电网规划建设项目日益增多，
对电网规划项目风险的评估研究具有了重大的研究意义。本文系统分析研究了
现阶段电网规划项目风险评估的国内外研究状态，构建了电网规划项目风险评
估指标体系，并根据电网规划项目的特殊性及评估指标的特点，建立了基于粗
糙集和支持向量机的电网规划项目风险评估模型，对邯郸地区的六个电网规划
项目风险进行了综合评估，并与单一支持向量机方法相比较，验证了所选方法
的有效性，表明了该模型对此类问题的实际应用价值。
关键词：电网规划，风险评估，粗糙集，支持向量机回归
ABSTRACT
As the national economy development and the deepening of the power system,
power grid planning projects have increased. It has major research significance.
This article analyzes the domestic and foreign research condition of the present
stage electrical network layout construction project appraisal by the numbers, and
has established the economic risk assessment index system of the electrical network
planning project. According to the particularity of each project and assessment
index characteristic of electrical network plan construction project, utilizes the
method based on rough set and support vector machine to carry on the risk
assessment of six electrical network plan construction projects in Handan, confirms
that it has good quality assessment effect after comparing with the sigle support
vector machine. It showed the practical value of the model in the research.
Ma Yue (technology economy and management)
Directed by prof. Sun Wei
KEY WORDS: electrical network layout, risk assessment, rough set, support vector
machine
目 录
中文摘要
英文摘要
第一章 引 言 ................................................... 1
论文的研究背景和意义...................................... 1
研究现状概述.............................................. 2
风险管理理论研究现状 .................................. 2
电网规划项目风险评估研究现状