文档介绍:第20卷 第1期 交通运输系统工程与信息
2020年rlines, Guangzhou 510470, China)
Abstract: In order to study the flight operations risk propagation mechanism, based on the civil aviation flight
operation procedures, at first, the flight data and the working performances of airlines, airports, crew, aircraft and
air traffic control were collected as research samples. Then, the experience network construction method and phase-
space of time series reconstruction method and the Spearman correlation coefficient method were used to construct
a complex network for flight operation risk propagation problems. After the calculation of the characteristic
parameters, it was confirmed that the Spearman correlation coefficient method had built the network with best
effect. After that, corresponding to the civil aviation common control methods, the concept of importance value r ,
′ ′
improved infection rate β and improved recovery rate γ were introduced. An improved SIR model suitable for
flight operation was proposed. Finally, the dynamic analysis of risk network propagation was carried out. The
calculation results show that when the importance degree value equals , the peak value of the in