计量经济学论文eviews分析计量经济作业.doc

文档介绍：第 1 页
我国旅游收入的计量分析
经济理论陈述
在研读了大量统计和计量资料的根底上，选择了三个大方面进展研究，既包括旅游人数，人均旅游花费和根本交通建立。其中，在旅游人数这个解释变量的划分上，我们考虑到随着全球经济一体化的开展，越ent Variable: Y
Method: Least Squares
Date: 12/23/10 Time: 02:00
Sample: 1994 2003
Included observations: 10
Variable
Coefficient
Std. Error
t-Statistic
Prob.  
C
X4
X5

第 5 页
R-squared
    Mean dependent var
Adjusted R-squared
    . dependent var
. of regression
    Akaike info criterion
Sum squared resid
    Schwarz criterion
Log likelihood
    F-statistic
Durbin-Watson stat
    Prob(F-statistic)
继续采用逐步回归法将其余解释变量代入，得出拟合效果最好的三个解释变量，结果如下：
Dependent Variable: Y
Method: Least Squares
Date: 12/23/10 Time: 02:01
Sample: 1994 2003
Included observations: 10
Variable
Coefficient
Std. Error
t-Statistic
Prob.  
第 6 页
C
X2
393
X4
X5

R-squared
    Mean dependent var
Adjusted R-squared
    . dependent var
. of regression
    Akaike info criterion
Sum squared resid
    Schwarz criterion
Log likelihood
    F-statistic
Durbin-Watson stat
    Prob(F-statistic)
以上模型估计效果最好，继续逐步回归得到以下结果：
Dependent Variable: Y
Method: Least Squares
Date: 12/23/10 Time: 02:40
Sample: 1994 2003
Included observations: 10
Variable
Coefficient
Std. Error
t-Statistic
Prob.  
第 7 页
C
X2
X3
X4
X5
R-squared
    Mean dependent var
Adjusted R-squared
    . dependent var
. of regression
    Akaike info criterion
Sum squared resid
    Schwarz criterion
Log likelihood
    F-statistic
Durbin-Watson stat
    Prob(F-statistic)