文档介绍:(二零届) 毕业论文(设计) 嘉兴市居民消费与经济增长关系的统计研究 I 摘要: 消费是社会再生产的重要环节,在市场经济条件下消费作为最终需求的重要组成部分之一,对生产的正常发展和国民经济的增长具有重要的拉动作用。在总消费中,居民消费又占据绝大部分,成为经济发展的重要拉动力量。因此, 研究居民消费与经济增长具有重要的理论价值和现实意义。本研究依据嘉兴市历年有关居民消费和经济增长的统计资料,以现代经济理论、现代统计理论和方法为指导,汲取国内外有关居民消费与经济增长研究的前沿成果,采用规范分析与实证分析相结合的研究方法,注重研究嘉兴市居民消费与经济增长的内在联系,系统地分析了嘉兴市居民消费的状况、特点和影响因素, 通过对嘉兴市居民消费与经济增长的模型构建与分析,探讨了提高嘉兴市居民消费水平,实现嘉兴市居民消费与经济增长协调发展的对策体系。关键词: 居民消费;经济增长;误差修正模型;实证分析 II Abstract Statistica l Sur vey of CPI and Economic Growth inJ ia xing City Abstr act : Consumption, an important link in social reproduction ina market economy, is one of ponent parts of ultimate demand, and it has a great effect on produ ction a nd ec onomic g ro wth of the c ount i ng for most of the nat i onal c onsumption, indi v idual consumption ha s bec o me a c ru c ialm ar ket fo r cea nds t udy of it will be of great importance both in theory and practice . Based on past years ’ statistics of individual consumption and economic growth in Jiaxing City , guided by modem economic theories as well as modem statistical theories a nd m ethods ,t aki ng in t he lat es t ac hievemen ts home and abroad in this f iel d, and a dopting t he met ho ds of norma t ive anal y sis and p ositive a na lys is , thi sr ese a rch tries t o seek out the internal relationship between individual consumption and economic growth in Jiaxing City, analyzes the conditions and the characteristics of individual consumption and the factors which influence the consumption , constructs models of individual consumption and economic growth, and establishes a system of c ounterm e asures t o promote individual cons um pti on and m aintain c oor di nate d development between individual consumption and economic growth in Jiaxing City . Key wor ds : individual consumption; economic growth; error correction model; e mpi r ical analysi s III 目录摘要..........................................................................................................................................................