文档介绍：沿河县人口预测
目录
题目:沿河县人口预测.................................................4
摘要................................................................4 ABSTRACT............................................................4
1 引言..............................................................5
人口预测......................................................5
研究背景......................................................5
2 沿河县人口发展趋势概况............................................5
3 问题的描述与分析..................................................6
4 人口的预测方法....................................................6 5 模型一............................................................7
模型的假设....................................................7
符号的说明....................................................7
指数增长模型预测—(Malthus).................................7
模型的验证情况................................................8
模型的应用与推广..............................................9
6 模型二............................................................9
模型的假设....................................................9
符号的说明...................................................10
阻滞增长模型预测—(Logistic)...............................10
模型的验证情况...............................................10
7 对两种模型的分析与讨论...........................................11
模型的分析...................................................11
模型的讨论...................................................11
8 预测沿河县2014-2020年的户籍总人口...............................12
9 预测建议.........................................................12
参考文献...........................................................14
致谢...............................................................15
沿河县人口预测
摘要
本文是分析沿河县2003-2012年的实际人口及年自然增长率,用简单的合理的两种模型进行预测,预测显示出沿河县2020年的户籍总人口。
关键字:预测;人口数量;马尔萨斯;Logistic
Prediction of population Tujia Autonomous County along the river
College of mathematics and applied mathematics He Jinfeng
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