文档介绍：华中科技大学
硕士学位论文
需求链管理若干关键技术的研究与系统实现
姓名:胡映兵
申请学位级别:硕士
专业:机械电子工程
指导教师:李培根;高亮
20050429
摘要
需求链管理是企业通过多种渠道和手段保持与客户、销售渠道和合作伙伴之间
需求与供应同步的商业策略,是企业多种应用系统以需求链为核心的集成化策略。
需求链是供应链的发展和补充。
本文研究了需求链及其管理的理论,并对其中的若干关键技术,如需求的预测、
需求链的优化、需求链的协同等,进行了深入研究,并开发了需求链管理系统。
首先,分析了需求链管理的研究现状,基本建立了需求链管理的理论框架。该
框架主要包括需求的理论、需求链的理论与需求链管理的理论三部分。
其次,研究了需求预测的方法。针对产品更新换代加快、产品生命周期日益缩
短这一现状,提出了种类预测的概念和实现方法;采用基于神经网络的数据挖掘方
法,并将粒子群优化算法用于神经网络的训练,较好地解决了种类预测问题,开发
的种类预测软件可用于潜在需求的预测。
然后,分析了需求链优化中常见的误区,提出了需求链的优化原则,并比较了
供应链和需求链,分析了基于 Mobile Agent 与的需求链模型的优缺点,并进一步提
出了总线型的需求链优化模型,有效的实现了信息共享。
接着,针对 ESB 的特点和需求链协同的要求,建立了基于 ESB 的需求链协同
模型。该模型可有效满足需求链对灵活性、实时性与交互性的需求。
最后,设计并实现了基于 J2EE 的、具有核心功能的需求链管理系统。

关键字:需求链管理需求预测需求链优化需求链协同企业服务总线

I
Abstract
DCM is a business strategy that involves the synchronization of demand and supply
through customer and partner collaboration across multiple customer and supply chains.
The theory framework of demand chain and its management are depicted. Some key
technology about DCM such as demand forecasting, demand chain optimization and
demand collaboration are deeply studied and demand chain management system based
on J2EE technology is designed and implemented.
Firstly the review of demand chain management study is presented and the theory
framework of demand chain management is structured. It contains three tiers including
the theory of demand, demand chain and demand chain management.
Demand forecasting methods are reviewed and a new concept and its
implementation method of demand forecasting are presented to meet the innovation of
competition environment, new requirements about demand forecasting such as category
forecasting. Product category forecasting is the result of products life cycle shortened. In
this thesis, a new data mining method based on artificial work is used for
product category forecasting and lead to good results. And it has integrated in demand
chain management system.
Some pitfalls in d