文档介绍：BP Energy Outlook 2030
London, January 2011
Disclaimer
This presentation contains forward-looking statements, particularly those regarding global
economic growth, population growth, energy consumption, policy support for renewable
energies and sources of energy supply. Forward-looking statements involve risks and
uncertainties because they relate to events, and depend on circumstances, that will or may
occur in the future. Actual results may differ depending on a variety of factors, including
product supply, demand and pricing; political stability; general economic conditions; legal and
regulatory developments; availability of new technologies; natural disasters and adverse
weather conditions; wars and acts of terrorism or sabotage; and other factors discussed
elsewhere in this presentation.
Energy Outlook 2030 2 © BP 2011
Contents
Page
Introduction 4
Global energy trends 7
Oil (and other liquid fuels) 25
Gas, power and coal 45
What can bend the trend? 63
Key themes 75
Data sources 80
Energy Outlook 2030 3 © BP 2011
e to BP’s Energy Outlook 2030.
The outlook for global energy is not just a matter for panies: it’s an issue
for all of us. Around the world, there is a lively and important conversation taking
place on the choices that face us all – as consumers, producers, investors and
policy-makers. By sharing this Energy Outlook, we hope to contribute to that
discussion.
Our starting point in contributing to this debate has been BP’s work on the Statistical
Review of World Energy, which this year celebrates its 60th anniversary. The
Statistical Review, which documents trends in the production and use of energy,
started out as an internal BP document and was made public for the first time in
1956.
In a similar way, the Energy Outlook, which contains our projections of future
energy trends, has been used only internally so far. However, we feel it is part of our
responsibility as pany