文档介绍：华中科技大学硕士学位论文
摘要
在当前全球变暖的大背景下,低碳经济成为各国谋求可持续发展的选择,国家、
城市、园区都成为低碳经济发展的重要载体,当前城市发展面临各种问题,本文旨
在从城市层面研究低碳经济发展。
本文首先主要概括了低碳经济的相关文献综述,重点对本文使用的碳排放测算、
因素分解和情景分析进行了阐述。在针对武汉市的实证分析中,首先测算了武汉市
1995-2008 年的 11 种能源消费的碳排放量,进而又对武汉市影响碳排放的重要因素
进行了具体分析,得知经济发展是碳排放增加的主要因素,能源效率提高是碳排放
减少的主要因素,最后又从低碳视角结合前文分析了武汉的现状,得知武汉市节能
降耗形势严峻。第四章主要建立了武汉市体现经济、人口、产业结构三个因素的能
源消耗总量模型和体现能源结构的碳排放关系式,利用情景分析法得到了武汉市
2015 年和 2020 年的各种碳排放情景,最后综合分析了武汉市人均碳排放和碳排放强
度的变动趋势,可知武汉市人均碳排放远远高于全球的人均碳排放水平并呈上升趋
势,碳排放强度虽然呈下降趋势但碳减排任务仍然艰巨。本文最后主要针对武汉的
具体情况因地制宜地提出了一些发展低碳经济的相关建议,主要针对提高能源效率、
优化能源结构和产业结构,还对武汉市低碳经济发展的重要领域和重点区域进行了
建议,并总结了相关的政策工具。
关键词: 碳排放测算因素分解情景分析
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华中科技大学硕士学位论文
Abstract
Under the current background of global warming, low-carbon economy has e
the choice of countries for sustainable development. Countries, cities, and parks have
e important carriers of low-carbon economy. Present cities are faced by many
serious problems, The thesis researches on low-carbon economy at the urban level.
This thesis first mainly summarizes the literature review related to low-carbon
economy,which focuses on the measurement of carbon emission, factor position and
scenario analysis . In the empirical analysis of Wuhan, the thesis first estimates the carbon
emission of 11 kinds of energy consumption of Wuhan from 1995 to 2008 .then makes a
detailed analysis of key factors which have greater impact on carbon emission , we find
that economic development is the major factor to increase carbon emission and the
improvement of energy efficiency is the main factor to reduce carbon emission, at last we
analyse the situation of Wuhan from the low-carbon perspective on the basis of previous
parts, we know energy saving situation is grim in Wuhan. The fourth chapter mainly
establishes the model of energy consumption which reflects economy,population and
industrial structure and the relationship of carbon emission which reflects the energy
structure,it uses the method of scenario analysis to get