文档介绍：突变理论在事故机理和预测中的应用研究
摘要
突变理论研究的是从一种稳定组态跃迁到另一种稳定组态的现象和规律。本文简单阐述了突变理论的产生和发展,主要内容以及对它主要的应用领域做了简单介绍,就目前突变理论用于事故机理分析和事故预测的最新成果作了综合阐述,特别就人机系统事故机理作了说明,并以煤矿事故为例介绍了突变理论在事故机理分析和预测管理的具体应用。事故的发生可以理解为系统内某些参数的连续变化引起系统的突变变质,系统由安全状态转化为事故状态实际是一种突变现象。详细地分析事故原因的系统,介绍了突变理论在事故预防管理中的应用及预防管理措施,说明将突变理论应用于事故预防管理中建立事故突变理论是非常必要的。
关键词:突变理论,事故机理,事故预测,煤矿
The mutation theory in the accident mechanism and the research on the application of prediction
Specialty: Safety Technology and Engineering0801
Student: Hu Panfeng
Advisor: Zhao Jiangping, Associate Professor
Abstract:The catastrophe theory study mutations from a stable configuration warp to another kind of stability configuration of the phenomenon and law. In this paper, the author briefly expounds the origin and development of the catastrophe theory, the main content, the main application fields of it also reviewed, the mutation theory is used for accident mechanism analysis and the latest achievements of accident forecast for prehensive elaboration, especially the man-machine system accident explains the mechanism, and with coal mine accident is presented in this paper in the accident catastrophe theory mechanism analysis and prediction of the specific application management. The accident can be understood as system in some parameters of the continuous changes of mutations in the system, the system safety state by bad into accident state is actually a mutation phenomenon. Detailed analysis of the causes of the accident system, this paper introduces the theory of mutations in the accident prevention management application and prevention and management measures, and illustrates that the mutation will apply theory to accident prevention management establish accident catastrophe theory is very necessary.
Key words: Catastrophe theory Accident mechanism Accident forecast Coal mine
目录
1绪论
2事故突变理论及其研究
3运用突变理论研究事故机理
4突变理论在事故预测中的应用