文档介绍:投稿领域:战略性新兴产业、低碳经济与贸易发展
开放经济下中国产业部门及其CO2排放的关联度分析
——基于投入产出表的实证研究
胡剑波1 ,周葵2a,逯建2b
(,贵阳550004;
;,成都 611130)
摘要:文章借鉴产业关联度分析公认的主要指标——影响力系数和感应度系数的思想,利用2007年投入产出数据,在开放经济下构建了中国产业部门及其CO2排放的关联度指标,并利用Matlab计量软件测算28个行业及其CO2排放的影响力系数和感应度系数。实证研究结果显示:(1)产业影响力系数和CO2排放影响力系数大于1的行业集中在第二产业,且以制造业居多;(2)产业感应度系数和CO2排放感应度系数大于1的行业也集中在第二产业,且以采矿业和制造业为主;(3)通过产业部门及其CO2排放的关联度综合分析发现:弱辐射强制约产业大多数为第二产业中的能源和原材料行业,多处于产业链的“上游”环节,如石油和天然气开采业;强辐射强制约产业以“中游”产业居多,如电力、热力的生产和供应业;强辐射弱制约产业大都是发展较为成熟并位居“下游”环节的产业,如金属制品业;弱辐射弱制约产业以第一和三产业为主,如农业、批发零售及餐饮业。
关键词:开放经济;低碳发展;投入产出;产业部门的关联度;产业部门CO2排放的
关联度
Study on Correlation Degree of Industrial Sectors and CO2 Emissions in China
under Open Economy: An Empirical Analysis Based on Input-Output Table
HU Jian-bo1 ,ZHOU Kui2a,LU Jian2b
(1. School of International Economics, Guizhou University of Finance and Economics, Guiyang 550004; Western Economic Research Center; of International Business, Southwestern University of Finance and Economics , Chengdu 611130)
Abstract: In this research, based on the ideas of influence coefficient and induction coefficient (or sensitivity coefficient) which are well known as the main indicators for industrial correlation degree analysis, using input-output data of 2007, we constructed correlation degree indicators of industr
y sectors and CO2 emissions in China under open economy. The influence coefficient and induction coefficient of 28 industries and their CO2 emissions are estimated by matlab. The empirical study shows that: (1) industries which values of industry influence coefficient and CO2 emissions influence coefficient are both bigger than 1, are concentrated in the secondary industry, especially in the manufacturing sectors; (2) industries whose values of industry sensitivity coefficient and CO2 emissions sensitivity coefficient are both bigger than 1, are also concentrated in the secondary industry, especially in the mining and manufacturing sectors; (3) based prehe