文档介绍:华中科技大学
硕士学位论文
小城镇建设可持续发展动态协调系统研究
姓名:李红波
申请学位级别:硕士
专业:管理科学与工程
指导教师:王晓鸣
20040509
摘要
论文简要分析总结了我国小城镇建设发展演变历程经验教训和面临的问题
在借鉴了国内外小城镇建设理论基础上研究了小城镇建设可持续发展评估特性和
流程建立了小城镇建设可持续发展动态协调系统该动态协调系统以城镇化促进
产业化为支撑生态化为保障的动力因子整合集成动态协调系统结构系统要素
和系统动力运行机制重点分析了城镇化产业化和生态化等子系统之间的互动协
调机制
以系统动力学为技术手段论文分析了小城镇建设动态协调系统模型因果关
系包括模型总体因果关系和产业分模块城镇化分模块和生态化分模块的因果关
系绘制了产业化城镇化和生态化模块流图并建立相应的动力学方程最后论文
以湖北省大冶市陈贵镇为实证分析对象对小城镇建设可持续发展动态协调系统模
型结构进行检验和灵敏度分析验证了该系统模型的可行性和有效性由仿真结果
分析了未来陈贵镇建设发展趋势通过政策实验室提出了相应小城镇建设可持续
发展政策建议
实例仿真表明经动态协调系统模型模拟仿真可以定性与定量地剖析小城镇
建设系统的历史现在和未来获取城镇建设产业生态和资源等各要素在小城
镇各个时点所处的状态据此状态来调控和优化小城镇建设可持续发展的能力
关键词小城镇建设动态协调系统可持续发展城镇化产业化
生态化系统动力学
I
ABSTRACT
In this study, the historical evolution and current experience as well as lessons of
the small town construction development in China are simply analyzed and summed up.
The problems existed in the development of town construction is raised. Furthermore,
according to the reference of the theoretical basis in China and abroad , the dynamically
coordinated system for the sustainable development of the small town construction is
established. During this process, the principle and process of the appraisal of the
sustainable development is drawn up. The promotion by urbanization, industrialization
and ecologicalization is integrated into the system including the system structure,
elements and dynamical operating mechanism, especially interactively coordinated
mechanism in the process of the urbanization, industrialization and ecologicalization.
The reason and result interrelation of the dynamically coordinated system model is
analyzed by the dynamics, which is used as technique, as well as the entire model,
sub-models of urbanization, industrialization and ecologicalization of the reason and
result interrelation. At the same time, the process charts of the industrialization,
urbanization and ecologicalization models are portrayed, and the correspondence
dynamics equatio