文档介绍:Starting Hand Win Rates
Often it is correct to raise in Texas Hold’em pre-flop to cut down on the number of
opponents. With 2 players seeing the flop against your pocket aces you still have a high
win % but when 3 people stay to see the flop you have a bit more than 60% win rate. Is
that what you want? To put money in with 63% shot. No, you would like to stay in the
70% range if you are going to invest your money.
Other situations allow you to call a small raise or limp in on the button with drawing hands
because the pot odds and expected value is mathematically correct according to
probability. Some of the major factors besides the your cards/math in determining when to
raise and when to limp is who is in the pot already/who is to act after you and what
position you are in. Reading players is in another article which is available free at my
website; Total Poker Pro.
Why the First 2 Cards are Important.
Essentially this should help you see that any 2 cards can win, BUT, the better cards will
win on the flop more often. To flop a good hand is hard enough, if you do flop one, you
want it to be strong. I have flopped a two pair of 5 2 in the blinds only to get hit by some
one who has 2 pair of face cards or hit trips. It is real hard to lay it down on the flop and
you usually want to protect that small 2 pair with a big bet. It was a flop of 2 5 Q with 2
suited cards and someone also paired their Q, you are holding a troubled hand my poker
reader. That person eventually got a 2nd card for 2 pair and their 2 pair was better than
mine. Onto the numbers:
A pocket pair flopping:
4 of a Kind .245 % - Full House .980 % - 3 of a Kind % - 2 Pair %
1 Pair %
Suited Connector AKs
Straight Flush .005 % - 4 of a Kind .010 % - Full House .092 % - Flush .837 %
Straight .321 % - 3 of a Kind % - 2 Pair % - 1 Pair %
So these are 2 types of the mon s