文档介绍：
数学模型方法在企业环境风险预测中的应
用
周伟,李晓萌,牛滨**
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(哈尔滨理工大学测控技术与通信工程学院,哈尔滨 150080)
摘要:如何进行企业环境风险预测,各有说法。传统方法主要以反映企业经营和财务状况的
指标进行风险预测,它存在天然的缺陷。而数学模型方法更加客观,具有说服力。通过本文
可以验证数学模型所具有的灵活性,即对于企业某一方面的风险进行识别与分析时可以使用
不同的数学模型。数学模型方法的建立,初步解决了在有各种复杂因素的多维指标体系中,
评估企业环境风险的科学判别问题,运用了系统的观点、联系的观点、变化的观点正确地进
行企业环境的风险预测。本文应用双向模糊图模型、灰色马尔可夫预测模型及非线性回归模
型对环境风险进行预测。
关键词:企业环境;风险预测;数学模型
中图分类号:X921
Application of Mathematical Models in the Enterprise
Environment Risk Prediction
ZHOU Wei, LI Xiaomeng, NIU Bin
(School of Control Technology munication Engineering, Harbin University of Science
and Technology, Harbin 150080)
Abstract: How to carry on the business environment risk prediction, each claim. The traditional
methods are the main risk prediction in order to reflect the business and financial conditions index, it
has natural defect. The mathematical model method is more objective, convincing. Through this paper
can validate the mathematical model with the flexibility, for certain aspects of enterprise risk
identification and analysis can use different mathematical models. The establishment of mathematical
model method, preliminary solved in plicated factors multidimensional index system,
scientific decision problem of evaluation of enterprise environmental risk, the use of the system point
of view, the contact point of view, change ideas correctly to corporate en