文档介绍:--basedriskandrewardesti-,,,IwishtothankKarlWeber,AssociatePublisher,JohnWiley&Sons,forhisinfinitepatiencewithandsupportofafirst-,-1RankingofAvailableOpportunities,2ControllingOverallExposure,3AllocatingRiskCapital,4AssessingtheMaximumPermissibleLossonaTrade,4TheRiskEquation,5DecidingtheNumberofContractstobeTraded:BalancingtheRiskEquation,6ConsequencesofTradinganUnbalancedRiskEquation,6Conclusion,72TheDynamicsofRuin8Inaction,8IncorrectAction,9AssessingtheMagnitudeofLoss,11TheRiskofRuin,12SimulatingtheRiskofRuin,16Conclusion,21...xiiCONTENTSCONTENTSXIII3EstimatingRiskandReward23Wilder’sCommoditySelectionIndex,80ThePriceMovementIndex,83TheImportanceofDefiningRisk,23TheAdjustedPayoffRatioIndex,84TheImportanceofEstimatingReward,24Conclusion,monlyObservedPatterns,24Head-and-ShouldersFormation,256ManagingUnrealizedProfitsandLosses87DoubleTopsandBottoms,30DrawingtheLineonUnrealizedLosses,88SaucersandRoundedTopsandBottoms,34TheVisualApproachtoSettingStops,89V-Formations,Spikes,andIslandReversals,35VolatilityStops,92SymmetricalandRight-AngleTriangles,41TimeStops,96Wedges,43Dollar-ValueMoneyManagementStops,97Flags,44AnalyzingUnrealizedLossPatternsonProfitableTrades,98RewardEstimationintheAbsenceofMeasuringBullandBearTraps,103Rules,46Avo