文档介绍：-
A FUZZY EXPERT SYSTEM FOR THE FORECASTING OF WIND SPEED AND
POWER GENERATION IN WIND FARMS
I. P. Dokopoulos, Member IEEE
Department of Electrical & Computer Engineering Department of Electrical & Computer Engineering
Aristotle University Aristotle University
Thessaloniki, HELLAS Thessaloniki, HELLAS
Abstract: This paper presents a fuzzy expert system that This correlation decreases with distance [7] and topographical
forecasts the wind speed at a wind energy conversion system elevation difference [8]. It also decreases when the orientation
(WECS) site and the electrical power that will be generated. of the distance vector differs from the wind direction [9].
The user can define the forecast horizon, which can range Recent publications [4] present work models
from some minutes up to several hours ahead. After training exploiting spatial correlation that show a possible way of
the system can make reliable wind speed forecasts in less improving prediction accuracy although they seem to be
than a second. extremely time demanding and not always satisfactory
The system implements wind speed and direction measuring because of the large range of variables involved.
stations that are installed around and in the WECS site. The The objective of this paper is to present a forecasting
stations send measurements via wireless modems