文档介绍：湘潭大学
硕士学位论文
制约当前我国消费需求的因素分析及其对策
姓名:胡琴芳
申请学位级别:硕士
专业:产业经济学
指导教师:王启云
20070501
摘要
目前,我国经济运行继续呈现增长的态势,一方面经济增长率居于高位,且
有进一步上升的可能,另一方面生产过剩日益严重。在这种形势下,只有扩大消
费需求,才能化解我国的生产性过剩危机,才能避免经济增长走低。
20 世纪 90 年代中期以来,最终消费率和居民消费率低且呈下降趋势;消费倾
向下降,储蓄率居高不下;物价水平持续走低,市场疲软⋯⋯凡此都说明了当前
我国消费需求不足的形势严峻。作为社会最终需求的主要组成部分和社会再生产
的重要环节,消费需求的不足严重制约着我国再生产的顺利进行和扩大,不利于
社会主义生产目的的实现,并且由此引致失业问题,增加了社会不稳定因素。因
此,如何扭转我国消费需求不足的局面,促进社会经济正常运行,成了社会共同
关注的话题。
近年来,有关探讨消费需求方面的文章颇多,可谓见仁见智。但有些问题还
值得进一步探讨,如当前我国消费需求为什么难以扩大,笔者认为,应该从更深
的层次来分析制约当前我国消费需求的因素。基于此,笔者在国内外现有研究成
果的基础上结合最新的资料信息,大量运用定量研究与定性研究相结合的方法就
上述问题进行了较深入系统的研究。本文以扩大我国消费需求主线,首先分析了
扩大消费需求的必要性及意义,继而以 1996~2005 年时间段中消费率、消费倾向、
居民储蓄、物价水平等变量的分析为基础,分析了我国消费需求不足的现状及其
对经济社会的负面影响,并在此基础上着力对制约当前我国消费需求的主要因素
进行剖析,最后有针对性地提出了扩大消费需求的基本思路及对策。

关键词:消费需求;制约因素;对策

I
ABSTRACT
At present, the economical operation of our country continues presenting the
situation of growth. On one hand the economic growth rate occupies the high position,
and is possible to further rise, on the other hand overproduction is serious day by day.
Under this kind of situation, only expand the consumption demand, could dissolve the
productive surplus crisis of our country, and could prevent the economic growth from
dropping.
Since middle period of 1990s, the final consuming rate and resident consuming
rate are low and presenting the downward trend; resident's propensity to consume
drops, but the deposits rate remains high; price-level drops continuously and market is
weak. Great deals of phenomena prove the present consumption demand of our country
is insufficient seriously. As ponent of the social final demand and important
link of the social reproduction, the insufficient consumption demand has restricted
harmony and enlargement of the reproduction of our country seriously, and is
unfavorable to realize the socialism production purpose, and has caused the problem of
unemployment which has increased the social destabilizi