文档介绍：216 广东农业科学2013年第5期阿克苏地区土地规模经营意愿影响因素分析——(西北农林科技大学经济管理学院,陕西杨凌712100) 摘要:以新疆阿克苏地区实地调研情况为例,对农民土地规模经营意愿及其可能的影响因素用logistic多分类回归模型进行实证分析。结果表明:%的农户不希望扩大土地规模,家庭人I=1数量、区域经济发展水平、农地流转价格、非农经济收入所占比重、土地规模经营预期、受教育程度、雇佣农工成本对土地规模经营意愿具有显著影响。区域经济条件较发达、农地流转价格的下降、规模经营预期的上升,以及雇佣农工成本的降低会使农民扩大土地规模经营的意愿增强。关键词:阿克苏地区;土地规模经营;影响因素中图分类号: 文献标识码:A 文章编号:1004—874X(2013)05—0216—04 Aksu large-scale landmanagement on desired ——B嬲ed on multinominal logisticregression model CHEN Biao,WANG Zhi—bin (Schoolof Economics andManagement,Northwest A&F Unwemity,Yangting 712100,China) Abstract:The research taken Aksu field as all example,farmers scaleland management willingness and scalelandmanagement factorsthatmight affectmultiple classifiersusing logistic regression model resultsshowed %of farmers did not want expand thescale ofland,household population,the level ofre60nM economic development,the transfer ofagricultural land prices,non-farm e shareoftheexpected large-scale landoperation,level ofeducation,employment peasants and workers had asignificant impact on the cost oflarge—scale landmanagement developed re舀onal economic conditions,agrieuhural land transferprice was hish,the expected scalelandmanagement and Employment peasants and workers andlow cost made thefarmers expand thescale landmanagement willincrease. Key words:Aksu prefecture;scal