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AICP EXAM REVIEW Quantitative Methods.doc

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文档介绍:AICP EXAM REVIEW Quantitative Methods
AICP EXAM REVIEW
Quantitative Methods
Pennsylvania Planning Association
March 2004
Kurt Paulsen
Temple University
Kurt.******@
///~paulsenx
Outline
Sampling and Surveys
Statistics
Demographics and population analysis
Economic analysis techniques
Impact Analysis/Decision tools
Cost-benefit analysis
Fiscal impact analysis
Sampling and Surveys
Where have e so far?
In our data analysis so far this semester, we have assumed the e from “good sources”, that is they are scientifically based, readily available, without error, etc.
In reality, we need to peer behind the methods used to collect the data before we can really analyze the data. (metadata)
And, often, we have to think about how to collect data ourselves
Acknowledgements …
Sources for this lecture:
Babbie, E. 2004, The Practice of Social Research, 10th ed. Wadsworth/Thompson Learning. Chapters 7 (The Logic of Sampling) and ch. 9 (Survey Research).
Lohr, S. 1999. Sampling: Design and Analysis. Duxbury Press. (more advanced mathematically)
…and disclaimers…
After this 3 hour lecture, you will know a lot about how surveys and samples are constructed, such that you can be an intelligent consumer of this type of research.
However, you do not know enough to put together your own sample. You do not know what you do not know. Most likely, you would need further study or hire a professional anization.
…more disclaimers
Most university associated research, as well as some research funded by government and/or non-profit money requires “Institutional Review Board” and/or “Human mittee” approval of survey design pliance with ethical research protocols before research begins.
Check out the requirements before you begin conducting a survey.
Sampling
As we have been thinking all along in statistics and probability theory, we start with an interest in some parameter of a population. However, collecting data on the entire population is

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