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THE OPTION TRADER’S
GUIDE TO PROBABILITY,
VOLATILITY, AND TIMING
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Team-Fly®
Founded in 1807, John Wiley & Sons is the oldest independent
pany in the United States. With offices in North
America, Europe, Australia, and Asia, Wiley is mit-
ted to developing and marketing print and electronic products
and services for our customers’ professional and personal knowl-
edge and understanding.
The Wiley Trading Series features books by traders who have
been able to work with the market’s ever changing temperament
and prosper—some by reinventing systems, others by getting
back to basics. For the novice trader, professional, or somewhere
in between, these books will provide the advice and strategies
needed to prosper today and well into the future.
For a list of available titles, please visit our Web site at
.
A Marketplace Book
THE OPTION TRADER’S
GUIDE TO PROBABILITY,
VOLATILITY, AND TIMING
Jay Kaeppel
John Wiley & Sons, Inc.
Copyright © 2002 by Jay Kaeppel. All rights reserved.
Published by John Wiley & Sons, Inc., New York.
Published simultaneously in Canada.
No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system,
or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical,
photocopying, recording, scanning, or otherwise, except as permitted under
Section 107 or 108 of the 1976 United States Copyright Act, without either
the prior written permission of the Publisher or authorization through
payment of the appropriate per-copy fee to the Copyright Clearance Center,
222 Rosewood Drive, Danvers, MA 01923, (978) 750-8400, fax (978) 750-4744.
Requests to the Publisher for permission should be addressed to the
Permissions Department,