文档介绍：Prognostic Model for the Patients with Severe
Liver Disease
Capital Medical University, 100069
Wenfang Wu1*, Jing Zhang, Binrong Ma, Jinqiu He,
Beijing, China
Lunli Zhang, Chunyi Zou, Shaojie Xin, Changyan
wuwenfang99718@
Lin*
*Beijing An Zhen Hospital
1*
Department of Biology Medical Engineering Beijing, China
survival rate and their life quality. The key to solve this
Abstract—to analyze prognostic factors of patients with severe problem is the prognosis with high precision and proper
liver disease and develop a prognostic model for them which is evaluation of the disease and its therapy.
fitful to the characteristics of our country. From March 2002 to For years, multiple researches have been conducted for
June 2007, the 527 patients with severe liver disease were prognosis judgment of the liver disease. The most
evaluated, the follow-up information were collected include the significant are the Child-Turcotte-Pugh(CTP)classification
survival state (death/survival). The survival model was established and model for end-stage liver disease (MELD), which have
by using COX proportional hazard model. New 400 cases were been widely used to prognosis of the final stage of liver
used to test and evaluate the decision capability of the model. Nine disease, esp, the hepatocirrhosis, and have been the basis of
prognostic factors were ex