文档介绍：摘要摘要随着城市化、机动化步伐的加快,我国城市和交通面临越来越多的问题,一方面城市化使得中心城区土地资源紧张,另一方面机动化又使得城市道路交通拥堵严重,面对这双重的压力,城市管理者亟需寻求一种有效地解决办法,既能引导城市空间的有序拓展,又能缓解城市交通拥堵的紧张局面。事实上,国内外无数成功经验表明,TOD模式和快速公交正是解决上述问题的有效方法,然而如何将二者有机结合却还有待进一步探索,本文正是在这类探索中的一次有益的尝试。首先,本文对TOD模式的相关概念、内涵等进行介绍,并进一步结合快速公交的构成要素及特性,从理论和实践两方面分析了TOD模式在快速公交规划中的适用性。其次,对TOD模式下的快速公交需求预测方法展开研究,分析了在TOD模式下传统预测方法的局限性,并在此基础上进一步提出了基于TOD模式的改进的快速公交需求预测方法。再次,对TOD模式下的快速公交站点规划方法展开研究,结合TOD模式的核心理念,从定性的布局规划方法和定量的选址优化模型着手,对该问题进行了深入阐述。同时,还进一步对所提出来的选址优化模型给出了模型求解过程以及相应的算例分析。然后,对TOD模式下的快速公交线网规划方法展开研究,分析了快速公交线网的布局模式和线网规模确定方法,并着重阐述了TOD模式下BRT初始线网的生成方法和相应的优化模型。同时,本文进一步运用遗传算法对所提出来的线网优化模型进行求解验证,并进行了相应的算例分析。最后,对基于TOD模式的快速公交规划方案进行评价,建立了相应的评价指标体系, 并建议采用层次分析法来对BRT系统规划方案进行评价分析。关键词:快速公交;TOD模式;预测方法;规划方法;站点;线网 Abstract Abstract With the accelerationofthepace ofurbanization andmotorization,the city and transportation are facing more and more problems,on the one hand,the urbanization makes thecentralcity land resources tense,on theotherhand,the motorization makes theurbanroad ongestion serious,under thissituation,thegovernment has toseek alleffective solutionright now,which can notonlyguide theexpansion oftheurbanorderly,but also ease thetension ofurban仃affic fact,there are essful cases athome and show thatTOD andBRT are themosteriectivesolution totheproblem, howeveL thereare stillmuch work todo bination ofTOD and BRT,and this thesisattempts todothework. Firstofall,the thesispresents theconcept,the connotation, TOD mode,bined withtheelements andthecharacteristicsofBRT,analyzes theapplicability ofthe TOD model in theplanning of BRT theoretically andpractically. Secondly,the thesiscarries on research tothemethod offorecasting thetrip demand based onToD mode,analyzes theimitationoftraditionalforecasting methods inTOD mode, andproposes theforecasting method which iSbased onTOD mode. Then,the thesiscarries on research inBRT stationplanning based on TOD mode, combined withthe core concept ofTOD mode,gives averyexposition oftheproblem from bothqualitative