文档介绍：博弈论与电力市场摘要: 博弈论作为经济学中研究市场的常用决策工具,在各个领域有着广泛的应用。电力行业中,可以为发电商提供如何进行各自优化的决策。而与之相应的社会监管方面, 通过对电力监管者和被监管者的博弈关系分析, 实现社会福利的最大化, 降低社会成本。本文从基本概念入手,在对电力竞价市场的分析的基础上分别给出了完全信息博弈、不完全信息博弈的模型和求解方法,并进行了比较,指出电力市场是一个典型的寡头垄断市场。最后运用博弈论的方法对政府对输配电企业的监管进行了简要分析。关键词: 完全信息博弈不完全信息博弈道德风险 Nash 均衡 Game theory to research the market as the economics of decision making tool, used in various fields ina wide range of applications. Electric power industry, can provide for the panies how to conduct their respective optimization decision. And the corresponding social supervision, through to the power regulators and game-theory relations by regulators and achieve social welfare analysis of the maximization, decrease social cost. This paper, starting from basic concept of power bidding market on the basis of the analysis are given respectively plete information game, the plete information game model and the solving method, parison, points out that electric power market isa typical oligarchic monopoly market. Finally using the method of game theory of the power transmission and distribution enterprise of government regulation are briefly analyzed. Keywords : Complete information game plete information game Moral hazard Nash equilibrium 1. 引言博弈论在电力市场中的应用研究具有很大的理论价值和实际意义。一方面,各个市场参与者要尽力应用博弈论使自己在和其它人竞争中取得的利益最大化;另一方面,市场监督组织要用它来预测和判断在市场参与者各方的博弈行为下是否发生操纵市场、哄抬价格等不合理的竞争现象。加之电能是一种非常特殊的商品,电能交易形式又呈现多样化,用博弈论模拟电力市场,结果可能更加接近实际,为市场模式设