文档介绍：Futures 31 (1999) 281–290
Synergetics and the images of future
Helena Knyazeva*
Institute of Philosophy, Russian Academy of Sciences, Volkhonka St. 14, 119 842 Moscow, Russia
Abstract
The hope of finding new methods of predicting the course of historical processes could be
connected with the recent developments of the theory of anisation, also called syner-
getics. It provides us with knowledge of constructive principles of co-evolution plex
social systems, co-evolution of countries and geopolitical regions being at different stages of
development, integration of the East and the West, the North and the South. Due to the growth
of population on the Earth in blow-up regime, the general and local instability of development
is increasing. The social world seems to go towards a unity, a monwealth
through pulsations rather than monotonously. It goes via alternation of disintegration, even if
partial, and getting more powerful integrations of structures. There is a path of multiple
reduction of temporal and material expenses, a path of a resonant excitation of desirable and—
no less important—feasible in a given social system structure. In the case of the right topology
of integration of geopolitical structures an arising anisation can accelerate its tempo
of evolution. 1999 Elsevier Science Ltd. All rights reserved.
1. Synergetics as a new methodology of futur