文档介绍：Original by Weng Wenbo
Compiled by Lü Niudun, Zhang Qing
Petroleum Industry Press
责任编辑: 杨静芬
封面设计: 赛维钰
图书在版编目( CIP) 数据
预测学: 英文= Forecastology/ 翁文波原著; 吕牛顿, 张清编
北京: 石油工业出版社 19979
ISBN 7 - 5021 - 2064 - 5
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Ⅱ①翁⋯②吕⋯③张⋯
Ⅲ预测科学- 英文
ⅣG 303
中国版本图书馆 CIP 数据核字( 97 )第 13560 号
石油工业出版社出版
(100011 北京安定门外安华里二区一号楼)
石油工业出版社印刷厂排版印刷
新华书店北京发行所发行
889× 1194 毫米 16 开 15 印张 543 千字印 1 - 500
1997 年 9 月北京第 1 版 1997 年 9 月北京第 1 次印刷
ISBN 7 - 5021 - 2064 - 5/ T E· 1740
06000
FORECASTOLOGY
Original by Weng Wenbo, Compiled by Lü Niudun, Zhang Qing
ISBN 7 - 5021 - 2064 - 5/ TE· 1740
Copyright 1997 by
Petroleum Industry Press
(Anhuali, Andingmenwai St ., Beijing 100011, P .R .C .)
All rights reserved . No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval
system or transmitted in any form or by any means: electronic, electrostatic, ic
tapes, mechanical, photocopying, recording or otherwise, without permission in writ
ing from the publisher .
Printed in Beijing,China
This book is dedicated
to my motherland ,
and to my friends
who are enthusiastic
for the science of forecast .
FOREWORD
“With precautions there will be ess, otherwise that will be failure”, and“ He who has no anxious
thoughts for the future will find trouble right at hand .”These Chinese proverbs all reveal to people the im
portance of forecast . Mr . Weng Wenbo believed that mordern forecast should cover a wild range, such as
social forecast ( e . g . population ) , technical forecast (e .g .developing trend) , economic forecast (e .g . ten
dency, market , management , etc) , and military forecast (e .g . strategy) .
Some universities in China now have established the courses in technical forecast ( T F) which is only
confined to the scope of technical economy of social science . This book intends, in a broad sense, bine
systematically the forecasting monly used in the field of technical economy with extrapolation
and forecasting methods of natural