文档介绍：1
7R – SEVEN REVOLUTIONS
Center for Strategic and International Studies
1800 K Street NW, Washington, DC
2
7R
The CSIS (Center for Strategic and International Studies) is a “think tank” in DC that seeks to provide strategic insights and policy solutions to world events that will occur in the future.
3
7R
One model they have developed is called 7R, or Seven Revolutions.
This is a discussion of seven forces they believe will significantly influence the world by 2025.
4
THE SEVEN FORCES
Population
Resources
Technology
Information
Integration
Conflict
Governance
5
In this presentation, we shall briefly look at
Population
Resources
Technology
6
1. POPULATION
1492: 500 million world population
2005: billion world population
2025: billion world population
2050: billion world population
7
1. POPULATION (cont)
Over the next 20 years, about 80% of world population growth will occur in countries that can least afford that growth.
8
Although the . is one of the top nine growth countries in that time period, the . can better afford growth than many other countries.
9
These countries that will experience 80% of world growth in the next 20 years are among the least stable nations politically, economically, and environmentally.
What are the implications of this? Might this be a threat?
10
Postindustrial nations will have “old” populations (a high average age).
Developing countries will have “young” populations (a low average age).