文档介绍：上海交通大学
硕士学位论文
我国对外反倾销税率与原材料价格相关性分析
姓名:邬一欣
申请学位级别:硕士
专业:国际贸易学
指导教师:任荣明
20100101
我国对外反倾销税率与原材料价格相关性分析

摘要

自1997年我国新闻纸反倾销案件以来,反倾销作为政府的重要决策,
一直被学术界广泛研究。文章从我国对外反倾销案例研究这一角度出发,
首先建立了在完全信息静态博弈下,关于我国对外反倾销税率的经济学
理论模型。并从单一企业市场结构出发,直至引入上下游企业这一结构。
通过Cournot-Nash均衡以及逆向归纳法,说明了政府在保证社会福利最大
化的前提下,最优的反倾销税率会与原材料的价格以及市场容量成比例
关系。
之后文章总结了自我国实施反倾销措施以来中国对外的反倾销案例,
并且通过统计和计量的方法来实证分析中国对外的倾销税率与上游原材
料价格和倾销商品国内消费量年均增长率的关系。进而说明原材料价格
和产品市场需求的变化量可以作为对各国贸易保护政策的预警信号,并
以此证明了之前的理论模型观点。
最后文章通过对我国对外反倾销的典型案例分析来为文章的内容做
出总结,并提出了合理的政策建议。

关键词: 反倾销税率,优化模型,原材料价格,消费量增长率
ANALYSIS ON THE CORRELATION BETWEEN THE
ANTI-DUMPING DUTY RATE OF CHINA AND THE PRICE
OF RAW MATERIALS

ABSTRACT

Since the anti-dumping case on Chinese newsprint industry, the
anti-dumping duty rate, a crucial decision of government, has always been
regarded as a hot issue in the academic field. Based on the study of Chinese
investigation on anti-dumping cases, this paper at first establishes an
economic model of Chinese anti-dumping duty rate on the static games of
complete information. It starts from the single market equilibrium until the
model of upstream and downstream enterprises is introduced. Through the
Cournot-Nash Equilibrium and backward induction, on the premise that the
maximization of social welfare is guaranteed by the government, this paper
explains that the optimal anti-dumping duty rate is in direct proportion to the
price of raw materials and to the market capacity.
Another contribution of this paper in the following parts is to study the
anti-dumping cases since the anti-dumping policy is put into execution in
China. Through the statistical and metering method, it illustrates the
correlation between anti-dumping duty rate and the upstream raw material
price, as well as that between anti-dumping duty rate and the average annual
growth rate in consumption. In this way, es to an elucidation that the
variations of raw material pri