文档介绍：Epistemology and the Psychology
of Human Judgment
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Epistemology and the Psychology
of Human Judgment
Michael A Bishop
J. D. Trout
1
2005
1
Oxford New York
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Copyright # 2005 by Oxford University Press, Inc.
Published by Oxford University Press, Inc.
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Oxford is a registered trademark of Oxford University Press
All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced,
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without the prior permission of Oxford University Press.
Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data
Bishop, Michael A
Epistemology and the psychology of human judgment / Michael A Bishop, J. D. Trout.
p. cm.
Includes bibliographical references and index.
ISBN 0-19-516229-3; 0-19-516230-7 (pbk.)
1. Judgment. I. Trout, J. D. II. Title.
BF441 .B616 2004
121—dc22 2004043889
987654321
Printed in the United States of America
on acid-free paper
To our wives, Loretta Torrago and Janice Nadler,
and to the veritable basketball team we produced while writing this book:
Miguel Bishop Torrago 7/5/2000
Daniel Bishop Torrago 9/26/2001
Nicolas Bishop Torrago 3/19/2003
Jack Nadler 7/5/2000
Jessie Nadler 4/14/2004
Miguel and Jack, our first children, were born on the same day. Our actuarial
outlook counsels that this is an unimpressive coincidence. But really, what are the
chances?
Preface
his book began in our classrooms. At some point, we discovered that
T we both teach critical thinking courses that are idiosyncratic in the
same ways—in short, as though they are courses in the psychology of
judg