Global Population Blow-up and After-The Demographic Revolution and Information Society - S. P. Kapitza - GMP.pdf

文档介绍：10:21 Seite 1
REPORT TO THE CLUB OF ROME
REPORT TO THE GLOBAL MARSHALL PLAN INITIATIVE
Sergey P. KAPITZA
GLOBAL POPULATION BLOWUP
AND AFTER
THE DEMOGRAPHIC REVOLUTION
AND
INFORMATION SOCIETY
2006
10:21 Seite 2
REPORT TO THE CLUB OF ROME
REPORT TO THE GLOBAL MARSHALL PLAN INITIATIVE
GLOBAL POPULATION BLOW-UP
AND AFTER
THE DEMOGRAPHIC REVOLUTION
AND
INFORMATION SOCIETY
Sergey P. KAPITZA
. Kapitza Institute for Physical Problems, RAS, Moscow
Publisher of the English Version, 2006
Global Marshall Plan Initiative, Hamburg
ISBN 3-9809723-5-6
© Sergey Kapitza, 2006
© Design, set and make-up — Mikhail Ivanyushin, 2006
Institute for Physical Problems, Russian Academy of Sciences,
2 Kosygina Street, Moscow, 117334, Russia
FAX: [phone]
E-mail: ******@
Editor – Global Marshall Plan Initiative
Cover – Maike Sippel
Print – Ebner and Spiegel, CPI Books, Ulm
10:21 Seite 3
To Tanya,
our children
Feodor, Maria and Barbara,
and our grandchildren
Vera, Andrew, Sergey and Sasha
10:21 Seite 4
Contents
Foreword by the President of the Club of Rome. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7
Foreword by Professor Franz Josef Radermacher . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9
Preface . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11
1. Introduction. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17
. Global Population Growth . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17
. Dynamical Approach to Social Studies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21
. The Statistical Nature of the Demographic Problem . . . . . . . 24
. From a Qualitative Description to a Quantitative Analysis . . 29
. Population Explosion and the Demographic Transition . . . . 32
. Models in Demography. . . . .