高盛2020年全球经济展望.docx

文档介绍：GlobalEconomicsAnalystABreakintheClouds20November2019|11:02AMESTWeexpecttheglobalgrowthslowdownthatbeganinearly2018toendsoon,-%%in2020,thisconcealsamorepronouncedsequentialpatternofslowinggrowththisyearand—inourforecast—,whichpartlyreflectsastructuraldeclineinthetermpremium,andthelowunemploymentrate,,wheredemandismostresponsivetofinancialconditions,andtheUK,,wherethefiscalboostislikelytoremain(too)limited,andJapan,%tojustbelow,,weexpectcontinuedlabormarketimprovementandupwardpressureonwagegrowth,,thepass-,,however,theriskisonthesideoffurthereasing,,limitedrecessionrisk,,,