Risk Analysis And Decision Making.pdf

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Workshop Report



Integrated Research

in Risk Analysis and Decision Making

in a Democratic Society











July 17-18, 2002
Arlington, Virginia
National Science Foundation
Contents


Acknowledgments 3


Part One: Background and Executive Summary

I. Background 5
II. Executive Summary 7

Part Two: Purpose and Results

I. Workshop Announcement and Agenda 9
II. Participant List 15
III. Conclusions and mendations 16


Appendix: Participant Papers

John Aherne 22
David Asch 24
Vicki Bier 27
Robin Cantor 30
Carl Cranor 34
Susan Cutter 37
Baruch Fischhoff 40
Geoffrey Heal 42
Stephen Hilgartner 44
Hank Jenkins-Smith 45
Ralph Keeney 51
Paul Kleindorfer 54
Howard Kunreuther 58
Peter Orszag 61
Charles Plott 64
David Schkade 68
Paul Slovic 72
Cass Sunstein 75
Peter Szolovits 77
Kathleen Tierney 79
Richard Zeckhauser 83
3
Acknowledgments





















Although the Directorate for Social, Behavioral, and Economic Sciences sponsored this
workshop for experts from outside of the National Science Foundation (NSF), colleagues from
across NSF helped through their