文档介绍：032025300许增宝上海房地产价格现状及未来走势摘要上海市把房地产业定位于上海国民经济发展的六大支柱产业之一,这不仅对上海房地产业发展提供了新的机遇,而且对全国房地产业的发展和国民经济增长也将产生深远的影响。上晦房地产在飞速发展的过程中出现了许多问题,如市场结构问题、空置房过多、房价居高不下??,上晦房地产的价格增幅在宏观政策和市场规律的双重作用下逐渐回落,市场表现略显低迷,甚至对房地产业支柱地位也产生了一些影响, 本文将从上海房地产的发展历史入手,寻找上海房地产的问题根源;通过对房地产价格的影响因素和形成机制进行理论和实证分析,把脉价格波动的趋势。首先对上海国民经济的发展状况、居民收入,人口变化、市政建设、金融工具、房地产投资、外资动力、宏观政策?等等不同方面就影响房地产价格的因素加以阐述;然后对市场环境、供求变化和心理预期作进一步分析,寻找出对上海房地产未来发展起至关重要的因素,据此结合价格理论对上海房地产价格未来的趋势作前期预测。关键词:房地产、价格、因素、分析、趋势 032025300许增宝上海房地产价格现状及未来走势 ABSTRACT Real estate is one ofthe sixpillar industries the development ofreal estate inShanghal,its contnbuhon toShanghai economy increased notonlybroughtShanghai llewopportumty,but alsoproduce profound influence on thedevelopment ofthe real estate andeconomy ofChina. There aremany problems intheprocess ofdevelopment inreal estate inShan曲a1, such as the unreasonable market structure,overstock bindings,lueta now,the increase rate ofprice isfalhng down smoothly by thedual funcUon ofthe macropohcy and the es mto downturn even impact thepillarposmon ofreal estateinShanghai. Itwtll coliR_nence from thelustory ofdevelopment,looking fortheproblem source of real estate wtllfindthetrend oftheptce ofthereal estate inShanghai by the theones analysis and thesubstantml evidence analysis on priceinfluence factorsand theprice formahon mechanism. At first,itdiscuss price influence factors such as economy condlUons residents’e,population,cRy planmng,finance,mvastment in real estate,forcagn capaal,macropohcy, more,it analyse thekey factorsofthedevelopment of real estate such as market enwronment,the change of supply anddemad,customer prolepsls,bining thepricetheones,future place trend ofrealestate inshanghal willbeforecasted. Key words:real estate,price,factor,anlysis,trend 2 032025300许增宝上海房地产价格现状及未来走势 1引言 ,这不仅对上海房地产业发展提供了新的机遇,而且对全国房地产业的发展和国民经济增长也将产生深远的影响。上海是中国最大经济最发达的城市,由于其得天独厚的地理位置悠久的历史文化和特殊的历史背景