文档介绍：暨南大学
硕士学位论文
奥巴马政府“阿富巴”战略初探
姓名:王冲
申请学位级别:硕士
专业:国际关系
指导教师:庄礼伟
20100501
中文摘要

本文是对奥巴马政府“阿富巴”战略的一项初步分析,尝试探究该战略的缘
起、内涵及其面临的挑战。本文认为,这一战略的推出具有深刻的背景。一方面,
近年来阿富汗和巴基斯坦的安全形势日益恶化,恐怖主义和极端主义直接威胁着
美国的国家安全。另一方面,奥巴马政府积极进行对外政策调整,确立了以“巧
实力”理念为指导的外交新战略。“阿富巴”战略就是这两个基本背景下的产物。
随着反恐形势变化,“阿富巴”战略也在进行不断的调整、改进,但是其基本内
涵保持着一致性。强调多边主义、军事和民事手段并用等构成了“阿富巴”战略
的基本内涵,其内涵在美国政府的相关政策行动中得到了充分的体现。
然而,“阿富巴”战略的推行不会一帆风顺。一方面,它会受到来自国家行
为体和地区国际体系层次的制衡。另一方面,它还面临着来自非国家行为体和社
会层次的反击。从前者来看,“阿富巴”特殊的地缘战略位置决定着美国会面临
来自俄罗斯和中国的权力对抗,主要体现在阿富汗运输通道的争夺上。从后者来
看,塔利班和“基地”组织等极端势力将给“阿富巴”战略的推行带来持久的威
胁,这与“阿富巴”边境地区尤其是巴基斯坦西北部落区的社会形态有着密切联
系。由于面临复杂的周边环境和对手的极力反击,“阿富巴”战略要获得其预期
效果,存在相当大的难度。

关键词: 奥巴马;“阿富巴”;巧实力

Ⅰ
Abstract

As a primary analysis on the “Afpak” strategy of Obama administration, this
thesis tries to explore the origins, contents of the strategy and the challenges it faces.
This thesis argues that the enaction of the strategy has a profound background. In
recent years, the security situation in Afghanistan and Pakistan has gradually
deteriorated, the terrorism and extremism also have directly posed a threat to the U. S.
national security. On the other hand, Obama administration has actively adjusted its
foreign policies and established a new diplomatic strategy guided by the “smart
power” concept. The “Afpak” strategy is the product of these backgrounds mentioned
above. With the changing anti-terrorism situation, the adjustment of “Afpak” strategy
has been continually in progress and gradually e more mature,
but the basic contents of the strategy still maintain consistency. The emphasis on
multilateralism bination of military and civil means constitutes the basic
contents of the “Afpak” strategy, which have been fully reflected in implementation.
However, the implementation of the “Afpak” strategy will not be smooth. For
one thing, it faces the challenges from some countries and the regional international
system. Also for another, it f