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我国货币政策中介目标地研究.pdf

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我国货币政策中介目标地研究.pdf

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我国货币政策中介目标地研究.pdf

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文档介绍:我国货币政策中介FI标研大我国货币政策中介目标研究内容摘要货币政策中介目标的选择直接关系到货币政策的有效性,所以研究货币政策中介目标的选择与取向,既具有深刻的理论意义,又具有广泛的实践价值。货币政策中介目标的选择以货币理论及其揭示的货币政策传导机制为理论基础,在技术操作上以可测性、可控性和相关性等为标准,同时也是货币政策最终目标、经济形势变化、制度变迁等综合力量相互作用下“相机抉择”的结果, 我国在19%年采用M1和M2作为货币政策调控目标标志着货币供应最作为我国货币政策中介目标的开端,但是随着近几年中国通货紧缩的出现,理论界对货币政策中介目标的选择出现了不同的主张。面对入世后新形势的发展,正确评价当前的货币政策中介目标以及对未来的货币政策中介目标提出合理的建议显得尤为重要。本文分析了当前货币政策中介目标货币供应量指标的效果,介绍了西方国家中介目标的变化对我国的启示,研究了利率目标制和通货膨胀制理论及其对中国的适用性,并从货币政策中介目标发展角度对我国货币政策中介目标选择及金融经济环境发展提出了一些建议,对完善我国货币政策框架具有现实的指导意义。关键词:货币政策中介目标货币供应量利率目标制通货膨胀制分类号: 我国货币政策中介目标研究 Research on the intermediate target of ary policy in china Abstract Because the choice of intermediate target of ary policy is relative to the effectiveness of the ary policy directly, there is deep theoretical significance and wide practical value in making scientific researches on the choice and developing trend of intermediate targets to an effective ary policy regime. The choice of intermediate target bases on the money theories and transmission mechanism related to them. It has three main) standards in technology-measurable,available and relatedness. In addition,it was also determined by some factors,such as the ultimate targets of ary policy, economic situation and systems' reform and so on. In 1996, MI and M2 was used as the adjust targets of ary symbolized the beginning that money supply volume was used as the intermediate target of ary policy. However, the deflation of Chinese economy in recent years leads to different opinions of the current intermediate target. Different voices on the effectiveness of ary supply and the choice of intermediate targets of Chinese ary policy arise. It is especially important to estimate the effectiveness of current intermediate target and make reasonable arrangement for the intermediate target regime in the future. This article discus