文档介绍:摘要
当前,中国经济快速发展,GDP 持续高速增长,近四年增长率保持在 10%以
上,其中,房地产行业的 GDP 增长起到了举足轻重的作用。2003 年 8 月,国务院
18 号文件对争议已久的房地产行业做出“国民经济支柱产业”的明确定位。
随着房地产的蓬勃发展,房价也一路飙升。面对这种房价居高不下,不能满
足人们住房需求的现象,引发了对房地产泡沫的各种争论。本文将主要从以下几
个方面来讨论房地产市场的情况。
首先,分析中国房价居高不下的原因。国内外研究关于住房价格问题的研究
文献可谓是汗牛充栋。本文通过对比分析各种不同观点并结合中国各地房地产市
场的现实情况,得出如下结论:导致中国房价居高不下的根本原因是目前中国房
地产市场是属于寡头垄断市场结构,并且存在价格合谋。
其次,本文通过价格歧视模型,定性分析了在寡头垄断条件下委托人处于合
谋与竞争两种不同状况下的社会福利水平。通过对两种状况下的福利分析,得出
在有效竞争的情况下,社会福利水平更高的结论。并利用古诺模型、斯坦博格模
型和价格合谋模型进行定量分析,得出开发商在价格合谋情况下的开发量小于在
古诺模型和斯坦博格模型情况下的开发量,但在前者情况下的开发商获得的利润
却高于后两者情况下的利润。因此,开发商更倾向于价格合谋。
再次,针对近几年中国楼价一路走高的基本情况,系统的介绍了其他国家和
地区的房地产调控管理模式,以便于中国的借鉴与学习。
最后,在借鉴与学习国际房地产管理模式的基础上,结合中国的基本国情与
现状,提出了如何解决中国房价居高不下的具体措施。
关键词:寡头垄断;有效竞争;价格合谋
I
Abstract
Currently, Chinese economy develops rapidly, and GDP grows rapidly and
continuously also. In recent four years, the growth rates are higher than 10%, in which
the growth of the real estate industry play an important role. In August 2003, File
of State Council made a clear orientation, in which the long-disputing real estate
industry is decided as the supporting industry of the national economy.
With the flourishing development of the real estate, housing prices also go up
directly all the way. Housing prices stay up all along, and the housing demands of the
people aren’t satisfied. So it brings various disputations about the bubble of the real
estate. Therefore, this thesis studies the real estate market and it is separated into
several aspects as follows:
Firstly, this thesis analyzes the reason that the housing prices of our country stay
up. There are a great number of literatures abroad analyzing it. paring various
different viewpoint bining the realism of the real estate market of our country,
this thesis put forward that the fundamental reason, by which housing prices stay up all
along, is that the real estate market is oligopoly market structure and furthermore there
is a collusion in it.
Secondly, usin